So, Monday, who wins Iowa R/D?

Courage folks, courage. No one could fault anyone for being wrong this year. I'm gonna go with the people with the best ground games. D-Clinton / R-Cruz.

----------------------------------------(@)----------------------------------

 

I'm really hoping for Trump but his ground game is like all his events, ham-handed and amateurish.

 

D - Clinton
R - Trump

 

I'm really hoping for Sanders so the democrats can show their true roots today.

 

Ahhhh, you're going with the polls. Good luck!

If Sanders constitutes the roots of the party, I'm feelin' the Bern!

 

Iowa wins...once all those republican assshats leave their state.

 

Come on, that's not very courageous. Give us your best guess.

 

Bah, it's essentially meaningless since I don't believe the victors in Iowa will be the victors overall....but fine. Cruz and Sanders. Sanders by a hair, Cruz by a Canadian nose.

 

R Trump
D Sanders

 

I can see that you are going with your own preferences. Good luck!

 

Trump's temper tantrum (against FOX's childish remarks about him) likely cost him Iowa, and the nomination....but, you still have hope. Trump isn't someone who loses easily, so you very well could be correct.

 

After the dissing FOX gave him, I'm guessing Trump is going to go Independent.

 

Cruz
Sanders

 

Stephen Colbert's insanely insightful take:

 

Joe was correct, in that my post reflected my own desire, and nothing more than that. Trump, Sanders.

That said, we've a long way to go. Now it seems it's going to be all nasty the rest of the way. Now, I ask again, does anyone think some of the lower rating candidates will drop out after Iowa? Or will they wait a bit longer?

And having nothing really to do with this thread, are the candidates who drop out in 2016 (or did drop out in 2015) able to claim any kind of loss on their taxes for money they invested in their campaigns? Or something like that? Another thread maybe..for curious minds.

 

I would sure hope so. Otherwise, someone would have to really hit them in the head to get them to see the headlines.

 

That's a good question. Some people never "officially" drop out of the race. There are other perks beyond winning the nomination that go along with staying in the race. Book deals, speaking fees, delusional donors, and so on. Some of them have racked up campaign debt that they want to payoff and staying in the race helps with bringing in extra cash.

The Right side of the aisle is flush with characters that never had a chance. The Left side has come down to two likely candidates. O'Malley is running for V.P. but the prize in the V.P. category is definitely Elizabeth Warren.

As I stated in the opening, I'm putting my money behind the people with the best ground games. Populist candidates with lots of excitement behind them have the energy but if that energy doesn't turn into people at the polls, the energy fades pretty quickly. It could happen that Trump and Sanders could see a surge of voters on Monday but I think that is probably a bit of a long shot, but who knows.

 

Brings to mind another question..what about vp's? Are they typically selected by, say, second choice (runner up, so to speak?). Or does the final nominee for the (each) party do the choosing? Or, what? And when does this happen? It's too early now, right?

 

Sanders
Trump

VP's are generally selected to bring in states and demographics the nominee is weak in or needs.

 

You can't pick a V.P. until you have the nomination sewn up. Picking a former adversary as V.P. happens a lot in our politics, at least recently. Reagan picked Bush, Obama picked Biden, so maybe one of these Cling-ons is just vying for the V.P. slot since they seem to have no other path to the inside track other than having served as V.P.